This year’s edition of the Iron Bowl may not affect the SEC or the national championship, but it’s still one of the greatest rivalries in all sports as Alabama and Auburn clash in college football’s Week 13 action on Saturday.
Alabama appears to have clawed its way out of college football playoff contention with losses to Tennessee and LSU by a combined four points and both in the last game of each game, but there’s still a clear path to a quality New Year’s Bowl game if that Crimson Tide can stick to two losses.
Auburn, on the other hand, is a program in transition. It’s on the hunt for a new coach after firing Bryan Harsin amid a string of losses and recruiting blunders, and has signed former Tigers legend Cadillac Williams as head coach. And with some success: He is now 2-1 and only six points away from being undefeated.
What do the experts think of the matchup? Let’s see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the Iron Bowl.
Iron Bowl: Alabama vs. Auburn tips, predictions
Alabama’s Chance of Winning: The computer is strong on the side of the Crimson Tide, who has a massive 94.5 percent chance of beating Auburn head-on and getting to 10 wins in the season.
Auburn’s Chance of Winning: In contrast, the index projects the Tigers have a 5.5 percent lead as they attempt to upset the tide, bowl-able and climb to .500 by year-end.
Point distribution: Alabama comes in as a strong 21.5-point favorite to beat Auburn, according to lines at SI Sportsbook.
In total: 48.5 points
money line: Maroon + 1050 | Alabama-2000
Spread Consensus Pick: Alabama -21.5
Outcome Prediction: Team Rankings expects Alabama to defeat Auburn straight away on Saturday by 34.5 points to 13.8.
How to see: The game is scheduled for Saturday, November 26 at 2:30 p.m. centrally on the CBS main network and streams on fuboTV (try free).
Predictions for Alabama: Bama stayed at No. 3 on his 131 college football rankings thanks to his 26.4 points per game-per-game predicted points and still with a slim 15.3 percent chance of making the college football playoffs.
Auburn Predictions: FPI ranks the Tigers 46th nationally, up five spots from last weekend’s win over Western Kentucky.
The Football Power Index (FPI) college football ranking and computer prediction model is a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Leaderboards and result predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season using a combination of analytics including past results, opponent quality and a team’s schedule.
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