UConn vs. Alabama odds, tips, predictions

UConn vs Alabama Odds

Alabama edged Michigan State — which was without two of its best players in Jaden Akins and Malik Hall — by nine points to reach the semifinals of the Phil Knight Invitational.

But now the Tide face their toughest challenge yet to maintain their unbeaten record.

The Tide will take on the 20th-ranked UConn Huskies, who not only haven’t lost a game this season, but have beaten every team they faced by 20 points or more.

However, Oregon was the first Power Five opponent the Huskies faced and this is an Oregon team that lost to UC Irvine in their second game of the season.

Is Alabama going to be a rude awakening for huskies? Or is this UConn team one of the top 10 teams in the nation once again?


Adama Sanogo was great at many things in his three years at Storrs. The big man leads the team averaging 19.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game.

Year after year, he has consistently been a dominant presence in color at both ends. This year he has already recorded four blocks.

This year, however, Sanogo has added another tool to his bag, having made 6 out of 9 3-point attempts so far this season. Prior to this year, he had only attempted a shot from beyond the arc.

He’s not the only UConn player posing a threat from anywhere on the floor.

ECU’s transfer Tristen Newton has averaged 13.2 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game so far this season. Not to mention he hits 39.1% from behind the arc.

As a team, the Huskies have hit 10 or more 3-pointers in four of their six games so far this season. However, their ability from beyond the arc will really be tested against Alabama, as the tide has kept opponents from deep 27.2% so far this season.

UConn has a top 10 rating of 59.1% when it comes to effective field goal percentage. The huskies also rarely make mistakes, giving up a turnover of just 18.3% of their ownership.

But again, this is the toughest test of the season so far, and this Alabama defense could give them a rude awakening.

However, the Huskies’ defense is pretty impressive in itself. One of their biggest advantages over Tide is their ability to generate revenue.

UConn comes away with a turnover of 23.9% of ownership in six games.

It’s something that could make all the difference in a game where these teams are so balanced. Alabama gives up sales of 21.3% of its ownership.

The Crimson Tide struggled with Michigan State even though the Spartans were without two of their best players. But they pulled away in the second half.

The Alabama offense has been great so far this year, led by an elite freshman in Brandon Miller, who could very well be the best player on the floor in the game.

But against UConn, there’s one key thing Tide needs to focus on if they’re going to win this.

Alabama was the second-best team in the country when it came to offensive rebounds. However, the Tide rely heavily on those offensive rebounds for a large percentage of their points.

Alabama ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to second chance points, with 18 points per game coming as a result of an offensive rebound.

UConn, meanwhile, ranks in the 91st percentile for defensive rebound percentage and comes down with the ball 78.9% of the time. The duo of Sanogo and Donovan Clingan in the suit could really cause some problems for this Crimson Tide team.


UConn vs. Alabama betting selection

Alabama is a great team so I can see why the market likes it here. The Tide currently takes 65% of the bets and 85% of the money.

And while both of these teams have faced inferior competition for most of this season, I think Alabama’s defensive and rebound numbers are the ones most affected by this lack of competition.

Against Michigan State — which was without its third-best rebounder — the tide was overtaken by two. Not to mention that the Spartans’ two top scorers with four fouls towards the end of the game really mattered.

I think UConn’s experience plays a big part here as both teams face their biggest challenge of the season so far. I can also see the presence of Sanogo and Clingan in the color matching Alabama around the rim.

That’s why I’m supporting the huskies in this one on the moneyline. I was able to snag UConn with even money but would bet as high as a -115 favorite.

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